Tuesday, April 27, 2010

The Need to Return to Election Normalcy

Starting in 2008, Louisiana conducted elections under two different systems: a closed party primary for federal races and an open primary for all other elections.

Under the rules of the closed primary for federal (US Representative and US Senator), each of the state’s political parties had the option of allowing registered independents and those voters who don’t have a party affiliation (in the eyes of the Secretary of State, there is a distinction) to participate in their primary.

The Louisiana GOP’s State Committee resoundingly voted to keep their primary exclusively for registered Republicans, while the Democrats, sensing a public relations coup, happily welcomed independents and unaffiliated voters to participate in theirs. More on that Republican committee vote later in this column.

Now before I delve into the complications, absurdities and the cost to the taxpayers of the closed primary system, allow me to discuss politics.

John McCain, the Republican Party’s presidential nominee, carried the Pelican State with 59% of the vote yet less than one-third of the Louisiana electorate are registered Republicans. Obviously independents, unaffiliated voters and registered Democrats crossed over to create this in-state landslide.

The GOP bosses and committee members ignore this reality with their insistence of “party purity” in the closed primary. While the Louisiana Republican State Central Committee’s 114-5 vote endorsing the closed primary was seemingly overwhelming, two things should be mentioned. First the RSCC consists of over 200 members; hence barely a majority were at the meeting. And some of those “votes” were proxies (members who handed their votes to someone else) and not the votes of members actually present.

Furthermore, over 70% of the RSCC was elected without opposition. Though its members serve on the governing board of the Louisiana Republican Party, one should not automatically assume that this mostly unelected body actually speaks for Louisiana’s registered Republicans.

In addition to insulting independents and unaffiliated voters, a critical cog in the Louisiana Republican Party’s electoral coalition, by shutting them out of the GOP primary and thus allowing them to participate in the Democratic primary, they’re creating a “moderating” effect by supporting more conservative Democratic candidates.

In other words, the independents and unaffiliated voters are saving the Democrats from themselves while the Louisiana GOP hides behind their ideological ramparts.

This scenario played out in the special election to replace Congressman Richard Baker in the Baton Rouge’s 6th congressional district, where a centrist Democrat, Don Cazayoux won his party’s nomination while ultra-conservative Woody Jenkins won the GOP nod. To nobody’s surprise, the Democrat won the general election in a fairly conservative congressional district.

But the closed primary’s can giveth and taketh. Another quirk with the system is that a candidate needs to only garner a plurality (the most votes as opposed to a majority) to win an election. Since the closed primary’s return, Louisiana has elected four congressmen without a majority, including Cazayoux and the Republican who defeated him later on in 2008.

The closed primary allows for political manipulation and chicanery to determine the outcome of a congressional election because a candidate does not need to win a majority.

Candidates have the option of skipping what could be a two-election primary, since a candidate DOES need to win a majority of the vote to receive his or her party’s nomination. A candidate can avoid the hassle and expense of winning a primary fight by simply qualifying for the general election as an independent or be nominated by one of the minor parties that have ballot access, such as the Greens or Libertarians. These candidates are in a position to play spoiler to a major party nominee (see ex-Congressman Cazayoux).

And there’s the potential for lawsuits as precinct commissioners could (and I’m sure have) accidentally allow people who shouldn’t vote in a particular primary or block someone from participating who is allowed to vote in a particular primary.

While permitting only Republicans to vote in the Republican primary and allowing Democrats, independents and unaffiliated voters to vote in the Democratic Primary might seem like a simple concept, the possibility (or rather probability) for confusion is ripe, especially since elected local offices under the open primary are voted on the same day!

You could very well have a case where someone is elected party nominee by more votes than there were eligible votes cast. While this is hardly unprecedented in Louisiana, the practical complexities of this system invite controversy.

Finally there is the best argument for scrapping the closed primary: its $6,000,000+ price tag.

Louisiana is in the midst of a nine-figure budget crisis. By scrapping the closed primary (which could require up to three elections) and going with the open primary (no more than two elections), the state could save a considerable amount of money that could go towards plugging the budget hole and off-setting cuts to hospitals and higher education.

Though the leadership of the Louisiana Republican Party boasts about being conservative, there is nothing more conservative a Republican can do than to save money from being needlessly spent.

The only winners with the closed primary are political consultants, since they stand to make money off of three elections instead of two in an open primary.

The closed federal primary is one luxury that Louisiana cannot afford.

2 comments:

Cybrludite said...

A better option would be closed primaries at all levels. All too often, the run-off from the open primaries boils down to one colorfully corrupt SOB against a slightly less corrupt one. Look at the first post-Katrina mayoral election in New Orleans, which ended up making us even more of a national laughing stock. Normalcy is what other states have with their closed primaries.

Jeff Sadow said...

>The closed primary allows for political manipulation and chicanery to determine the outcome of a congressional election because a candidate does not need to win a majority.

This is not accurate. There is no reason you could not impose a majority requirement as does Georgia. However, this could require an extra election.

>A candidate can avoid the hassle and expense of winning a primary fight by simply qualifying for the general election as an independent or be nominated by one of the minor parties that have ballot access, such as the Greens or Libertarians. These candidates are in a position to play spoiler to a major party nominee.

Anything wrong with that? But if truly interested in party-building, use a "sore loser" law that prevents anyone who qualifies for a party primary and does not receive the nomination then cannot run in the subsequent general election.

>In addition to insulting independents and unaffiliated voters, a critical cog in the Louisiana Republican Party’s electoral coalition, by shutting them out of the GOP primary and thus allowing them to participate in the Democratic primary, they’re creating a “moderating” effect by supporting more conservative Democratic candidates.

Actually, the academic literature suggests somewhat the opposite. Typically, the closed primary produces the most ideological nominees. This tends to favor the majority party and its dominant ideology. The blanket primary, what we have for state and local elections, has the opposite effect which is to the greatest advantage of the weaker party. In other words, if as we can fairly safely argue that, as far as Congressional elections now go in Louisiana, this is a Republican state, the closed primary will produce the most conservative Members of Congress, while the blanket primary will produce the least conservative.

Now, it can be the case that when you have an enforced closed primary (as are Republicans now) set against a partially closed system (as are Democrats now), you are likely to have more competitive Democrat candidates. At the same time, that will be because they are more conservative. So, pick your preference -- a closed system that will produce more conservatism, or a blanket system that will produce less conservatism among Members elected, with the difference in terms of partisan balance uncertain to be any different. I suppose your point of view would depend upon whether you prize more party (maybe blanket) or ideological purity (certainly closed).

For more relevant information on this issue, see the following: http://jeffsadow.blogspot.com/2010/04/blanket-primary-restoration-makes.html and http://jeffsadow.blogspot.com/2010/04/problem-would-return-with-primary.html.

Rather interesting definition to "normalcy" in the title -- the blanket primary is anything but. Louisiana is the only state that uses the blanket primary as it does, with only Washington's "top two" version being close, and that is being challenged legally still after several years of litigation.